President Trump took the suburbs by four points in 2016. The Republicans won it by less in 2018. That reduced margin helped the Democrats take the House. But white moderates and liberals who live in the suburbs are currently scared to the point of softly whimpering at what Democrat-sponsored Antifa and Black Lives Matter could do to their neighborhoods.
Democrats admit that President Trump’s message is “working” on violence coming to the Suburbs in a Looney Biden Administration. Plus, Biden just doubled down on forcing Federal control of local zoning. This means low income housing and projects. So much for the American Dream!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 8, 2020
Those terrorist groups have helpfully amplified the GOP law-and-order message by providing their own video of various chinless rabble carousing through leafy suburban streets. So it is no wonder President Trump is looking good in the burbs again and Democrats are nervous.
Holly Lyon, chair of the local Democratic Party in Pinal County, Arizona, told Politico: “There is that little sort of unsettled feeling in people because we can tell that [Trump’s messaging] is grabbing hold, and it’s working.”
The concern is paramount in other suburban areas. Two Democratic strategists who conducted focus groups of suburban voters said white, college-educated women “are starting to really get sick of” the riots. Karens are not happy and they love to let their unhappiness be known, even at the ballot box.
A state poll by Monmouth University showed Biden’s lead over Trump narrowing generally in Pennsylvania and falling in some of its suburbs. Given the inherent anti-Trump and anti-Republican bias in these polls, Trump is probably 2-4 points ahead in the suburbs right now. Throw in continued riots between now and November and add in two more points.
Robert Tatterson, secretary of the Democratic Party in Wisconsin’s Ozaukee County (outside Milwaukee) said Trump “will be able to be the strong man, only-I-can-save-you leader, and that’s playing out just like I had feared.” Oh look, a Democrat with common sense.
Certain media-friendly Republican pundits are saying that Trump could be overplaying his hand. Frank Luntz, a Republican pollster, told Politico that Trump “is talking about the right issue, but he’s talking the wrong way. Suburban voters want ‘public safety’ even more than law and order. They want ‘safe streets’ rather than ‘dominating the streets.’ His rhetoric is over-caffeinated.” Luntz has been cut out of the Trump gravy train and is miffed. Hence his soundbite. Luntz knows full well that suburban voters will tolerate any sort of overstatement and overreaction if they think their precious gardens could be trampled on by scruffy anarchists.
Trump has said on the subject, “The American dream would be quickly snuffed out and replaced by a socialist nightmare. The end result will be to totally destroy the beautiful suburbs… Suburbia will be no longer as we know it. They’re going to watch it go to hell. Not while I am here.”
Trump killed an Obama era plan to institute racial quotas in suburban housing. He gave suburban voters big tax cuts and made their streets safer through aggressive support of law enforcement. While some of their book clubs and Unitarian cookouts may not be the place to laud the president, you can bet the suburbs will put enlightened self-interest over the Democrat alliance with Antifa and Black Lives Matter and vote Republican in November.
This piece was written by David Kamioner on September 8, 2020. It originally appeared in LifeZette and is used by permission.
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